UMPIRY
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Carl Emil Overbeck vs Florian Broska — Brisbane 3 Round of 32

Brisbane 3R32HardMon 9 Nov
Carl Emil OverbeckATP #301 · DEN60%
VSSlight edge · Overbeck C.
Florian BroskaATP #320 · GER40%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Overbeck C.
60%40%

Overbeck C. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Overbeck C.5.5/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Broska F.5.4/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Broska F.
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Overbeck C.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 670
Hard ELO1 609
Last 105–5
Age25
Height193 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $57K2026 $25K
ELO1 691
Hard ELO1 616
Last 104–6
Age28
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $94K2026 $36K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Overbeck C.Broska F.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate69% (29–13) (ahead)61% (23–15)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16701691 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16091616 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 33 vs 38 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)69%
Return points won39%39%
Aces / match5.8 (ahead)4.2
ClutchLast 33 vs 38 matches
Break points saved57%63% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast22°C · Clear
Wind4 km/h
Humidity49%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Carl Emil Overbeck vs Florian Broska — Brisbane 3 Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/broska-vs-overbeck-brisbane-3-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).