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Billy Harris vs Liam Broady — Matsuyama Round of 32

MatsuyamaR32HardMon 9 Nov
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
47%53%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Harris B.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Broady L.6.1/10
Even match
Why
Surface+104 Hard Elo edgeSupports Broady L.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1590Supports Broady L.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headTrails 0–2 on hardInformative
Long matches3 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Harris B.
ELO1 715
Hard ELO1 605
Last 104–6
Age31
Height193 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.6M2026 $357K
ELO1 718
Hard ELO1 670
Last 104–6
Age32
Height183 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $2.2M2026 $122K

Billy Harris faces Liam Broady in the Matsuyama round of 32 on hard. Liam Broady holds the paper edge — ranked #212, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 100-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Broady L. leads 2–0
02

Evidence

Harris B.Broady L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–64–6
Season win rate39% (23–36)52% (27–25) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17151718 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16051670 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 54 vs 49 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)70%
Return points won36%41% (ahead)
Aces / match5.3 (ahead)2.8
ClutchLast 54 vs 49 matches
Break points saved62% (ahead)59%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

SurfaceHard · medium
Forecast15°C · Mainly clear
Wind3 km/h
Humidity67%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Harris B.Broady L.
4Days since last match4
2Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
39Games · 7 days18 — fresher
6Matches · 14 days5 — fresher
97 — fresherGames · 14 days127
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Billy Harris vs Liam Broady — Matsuyama Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/broady-vs-harris-matsuyama-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).