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Karim Bennani vs Sumit Nagal — Hersonissos 3 Round of 32

Hersonissos 3R32HardMon 9 Nov · 10:00
Karim BennaniATP #464 · MAR47%
VSToss-up
Sumit Nagal(8)ATP #265 · IND53%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
47%53%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Bennani K.5.3/10
Clear underdog
Nagal S.6.5/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+127 Hard Elo edgeSupports Nagal S.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1543Supports Nagal S.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 606
Hard ELO1 555
Last 105–5
Age19
EarningsCareer $43K2026 $25K
ELO1 730
Hard ELO1 600
Last 105–5
Age29
EarningsCareer $1.8M2026 $67K

Karim Bennani faces Sumit Nagal in the Hersonissos 3 round of 32 on hard. Sumit Nagal holds the paper edge — ranked #265, a roughly 130-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

  • Surface form: Karim Bennani 1 of 4, Sumit Nagal 2 of 4 on hard recently — Sumit Nagal the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Sumit Nagal carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Bennani K.Nagal S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–55–5
Season win rate61% (25–16) (ahead)47% (28–32)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16061730 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15551600 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 30 vs 53 matches
1st-serve points won69% (ahead)64%
Return points won40%40%
Aces / match2.5 (ahead)1.6
ClutchLast 30 vs 53 matches
Break points saved57%58% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · slow
Forecast15°C · Partly cloudy
Wind6 km/h
Humidity69%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Karim Bennani vs Sumit Nagal — Hersonissos 3 Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/bennani-vs-nagal-hersonissos-3-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).