Vladyslav Orlov vs Lorenzo Angelini

UMPIRY

Hersonissos 3Q16QualifyingHardMon 9 Nov · 11:30

Vladyslav OrlovATP #521 · UKR55%

VSToss-up

Lorenzo AngeliniATP #531 · ITA45%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

55%45%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Orlov V.4.5/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Angelini L.4.6/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form4 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Angelini L.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 636

Hard ELO1 559

Last 105–5

Age31

EarningsCareer $227K2026 $23K

ELO1 594

Hard ELO1 519

Last 105–5

Age20

EarningsCareer $28K2026 $14K

Vladyslav Orlov faces Lorenzo Angelini in the Hersonissos 3 qualifying round of 16 on hard. Vladyslav Orlov holds the paper edge — ranked #521.

Key context

Last match: Vladyslav Orlov lost just 0 games in a 6–0 6–0 demolition of Umberto Giuseppe Capitanio.
Last match: Lorenzo Angelini advanced when Petros Tsitsipas retired.
Fatigue load: Lorenzo Angelini carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Orlov V.Angelini L.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–55–5

Season win rate58% (32–23)57% (24–18)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16361594

Hard-court ELO15591519

Serve vs returnLast 41 vs 39 matches

1st-serve points won66%61%

Return points won44%45%

Aces / match2.00.6

ClutchLast 41 vs 39 matches

Break points saved60%55%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local

SurfaceHard · slow

Forecast16°C · Mainly clear

Wind7 km/h

Humidity67%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Vladyslav Orlov vs Lorenzo Angelini — Hersonissos 3 Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/angelini-vs-orlov-hersonissos-3-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).