UMPIRY
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Mykyta Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev — Hersonissos 3 Qualifying Round of 16

Hersonissos 3Q16QualifyingHardMon 9 Nov · 11:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Andreev A.
41%59%

Andreev A. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Mashtakov M.5.1/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Andreev A.5.1/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardInformative
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Mashtakov M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 647
Hard ELO1 504
Last 107–3
Age27
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
ELO1 690
Hard ELO1 581
Last 107–3
Age25
Height175 cm
PlaysRight

Mykyta Mashtakov faces Adrian Andreev in the Hersonissos 3 qualifying round of 16 on hard. Mykyta Mashtakov is the paper favourite — ranked #452 — but Adrian Andreev arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 5 on hard to Mykyta Mashtakov's 3 of 5.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Mashtakov M.Andreev A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate78% (32–9) (ahead)72% (23–9)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16471690 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15041581 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 38 vs 26 matches
1st-serve points won65%65%
Return points won46% (ahead)43%
Aces / match1.61.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 38 vs 26 matches
Break points saved62% (ahead)59%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceHard · slow
Forecast16°C · Mainly clear
Wind7 km/h
Humidity67%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mykyta Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev — Hersonissos 3 Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/andreev-vs-mashtakov-hersonissos-3-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).