UMPIRY
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Mert Alkaya vs Eliakim Coulibaly — Monastir 1 Round of 32

Monastir 1R32HardMon 9 Nov · 11:00
VSClear favourite · Coulibaly E.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Coulibaly E.
28%72%

Clear edge for Coulibaly E. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Alkaya M.5.8/10
Slight disadvantage
Coulibaly E.5.7/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+116 Hard Elo edgeSupports Coulibaly E.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1449Supports Coulibaly E.
Recent runLost last 4Informative
Head-to-headSplit 1–1 on hardAgainst the prediction · Alkaya M.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
ELO1 673
Hard ELO1 642
Last 106–4
Age26
EarningsCareer $87K2026 $39K
ELO1 717
Hard ELO1 701
Last 109–1
Age24
EarningsCareer $159K2026 $27K

Mert Alkaya faces Eliakim Coulibaly in the Monastir 1 round of 32 on hard. Mert Alkaya is the paper favourite — ranked #321 — but Eliakim Coulibaly arrives in form, winning 9 of their last 10 on hard to Mert Alkaya's 6 of 10. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.

Key context

  • Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1. Last met at Monastir CH 2025.
  • Surface form: Mert Alkaya 6 of 10, Eliakim Coulibaly 9 of 10 on hard recently — Eliakim Coulibaly the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Mert Alkaya carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1
11

Evidence

Alkaya M.Coulibaly E.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–49–1 (ahead)
Season win rate53% (24–21)63% (25–15) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16731717 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16421701 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 43 vs 36 matches
1st-serve points won70%74% (ahead)
Return points won38%42% (ahead)
Aces / match5.7 (ahead)4.9
ClutchLast 43 vs 36 matches
Break points saved65% (ahead)61%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast16°C · Overcast
Wind11 km/h
Humidity78%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mert Alkaya vs Eliakim Coulibaly — Monastir 1 Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/alkaya-vs-coulibaly-monastir-1-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).