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Maximus Jones vs Sho Katayama — Matsuyama Qualifying Round of 32

MatsuyamaQ32QualifyingHardSun 8 Nov · 13:20Interrupted
Maximus JonesATP #493 · THA
Sho KatayamaJPN
SetsGames0
34
1
61
Odds

Play suspendedJones M. unbroken · Katayama S. broken once

  • 3 games in a row · Jones M.

Live Win Probability

i
—Jones M.
—Katayama S.
Maximus JonesSho Katayama
Serve flowJones M. broken once · Katayama S. broken once.
  • Hold to love/15
  • Hold to 30
  • Hold to 40 / deuce
  • Broken
  • Result unknown
Jones M.
6/7Katayama S.
5/6
Set 1Set 2

Match momentum

Last 30 pointsJones M.Katayama S.
EvenJones M.Katayama S.
Swinging toJones M.34
9Last 12 points3
12Last 3 games9
1/3Break points1/2
30 pointsNow

Break of serve

Live statistics · Serve vs return

Jones M.Katayama S.
Serve
  • 86% · 6/7Service games held83% · 5/6
Return
  • 1Breaks of serve1

Key moments

Latest first
  1. BREAKSet 2 · Game 4Jones M. broke serve
  2. HOLD 0Set 2 · Game 1Jones M. held to love
  3. BREAKSet 1 · Game 2Katayama S. broke serve
Pre-match context

Katayama S. came in with the higher hard rating (1575 vs 1570) and the better recent record (5–5 vs 4–6).

Pre-match prediction

Set before the first ball · not updated in play
Pre-match win probability
60%40%
Umpiry Score
5.7/10/105.0
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probability
ELO1 603
Hard ELO1 570
Last 104–6
Age22
ELO1 595
Hard ELO1 575
Last 105–5
Age37

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Season statistics

Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide
Jones M.Katayama S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–65–5 (ahead)
Season win rate46% (18–21) (ahead)0% (0–2)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1603 (ahead)1595
Hard-court ELO15701575 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 34 vs 2 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)60%
Return points won38% (ahead)32%
Aces / match5.1 (ahead)2.5
ClutchLast 34 vs 2 matches
Break points saved60% (ahead)50%

Draw

Conditions

13:20 local
SurfaceHard · medium
Weather17°C · Mainly clear
Wind8 km/h
Humidity51%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Match info

  • Started13:20 local

Cite this

Umpiry, "Maximus Jones vs Sho Katayama — Matsuyama Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-08/jones-vs-katayama-matsuyama-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 8 November 2026).