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Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva — Chennai Open - Chennai Round of 16

Chennai Open - ChennaiR16HardThu 5 Nov · 15:00Court 1 · Next on
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Hontama M.
66%34%

Hontama M. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Hontama M.6.3/10
Marginal edge
Kulambayeva Z.5.4/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+175 Hard Elo edgeSupports Hontama M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1480Supports Hontama M.
Recent run3-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Kulambayeva Z.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Hontama M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 723
Hard ELO1 642
Last 104–6
Age27
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.2M2026 $167K
ELO1 675
Hard ELO1 534
Last 105–5
Age26
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $235K2026 $44K

Mai Hontama faces Zhibek Kulambayeva in the Chennai Open - Chennai round of 16 on hard. Mai Hontama is the paper favourite — ranked #160, a roughly 170-point hard Elo advantage — but Zhibek Kulambayeva arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 4 on hard to Mai Hontama's 2 of 4.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Hontama M.Kulambayeva Z.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–65–5 (ahead)
Season win rate54% (32–27)62% (29–18) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1723 (ahead)1675
Hard-court ELO1642 (ahead)1534
Serve vs returnLast 56 vs 43 matches
1st-serve points won58%59% (ahead)
Return points won47%50% (ahead)
Aces / match0.7 (ahead)0.6
ClutchLast 56 vs 43 matches
Break points saved51%54% (ahead)

When it starts

Court 1 · Next on · Starting at 3:00 PM
  • 1This match: Hontama M. v Kulambayeva Z.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Court 1 · 15:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast28°C · Drizzle
Wind11 km/h
Humidity75%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Hontama M.Kulambayeva Z.
1Days since last match2 — fresher
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
21 — fresherGames · 7 days70
3Matches · 14 days3
58 — fresherGames · 14 days70
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva — Chennai Open - Chennai Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-05/hontama-vs-kulambayeva-chennai-open-chennai-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 5 November 2026).