UMPIRY
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Merna Refaat vs Edda Mamedova — W35 Orlando Round of 32

W35 OrlandoR32HardWed 4 Nov · 12:30
Merna RefaatEGY50%
VSToss-up
Edda MamedovaWTA #643 · RUS50%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
50%50%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Refaat M.4.5/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Mamedova E.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Recent runLost last 2Informative
CountryWon 71% in USA (41)Favours Refaat M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 581
Hard ELO1 579
Last 106–4
Age22
EarningsCareer $43K
ELO1 586
Hard ELO1 578
Last 106–4
Age20
EarningsCareer $27K2026 $7K

Merna Refaat faces Edda Mamedova in the W35 Orlando round of 32 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Edda Mamedova carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 6 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Refaat M.Mamedova E.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate60% (6–4)63% (17–10) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15811586 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1579 (ahead)1578
Serve vs returnLast 8 vs 14 matches
1st-serve points won58%58%
Return points won47%47%
Aces / match0.4 (ahead)0.1
ClutchLast 8 vs 14 matches
Break points saved57% (ahead)55%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast27°C · Overcast
Wind10 km/h
Humidity73%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Merna Refaat vs Edda Mamedova — W35 Orlando Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-04/mamedova-vs-refaat-w35-orlando-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 4 November 2026).