UMPIRY
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Sloane Stephens vs Carolina Kuhl — W35 Orlando Round of 32

W35 OrlandoR32HardWed 4 Nov · 17:00
Sloane Stephens(1)WTA #113 · USA90%
VSStrong favourite · Stephens S.
Carolina KuhlWTA #591 · GER10%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Stephens S.
90%10%

Clear edge for Stephens S. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 10 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Stephens S.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Kuhl C.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardInformative
CountryWon 62% in USA (24)Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 861
Hard ELO1 734
Last 108–2
Age33
EarningsCareer $19.4M2026 $411K
ELO1 592
Hard ELO1 543
Last 107–3
Age21
EarningsCareer $72K2026 $10K

Sloane Stephens faces Carolina Kuhl in the W35 Orlando round of 32 on hard. Sloane Stephens holds the paper edge — ranked #113. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Surface form: Sloane Stephens 8 of 10, Carolina Kuhl 7 of 10 on hard recently — Sloane Stephens the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Carolina Kuhl carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Stephens S.Kuhl C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)7–3
Season win rate54% (26–22)56% (18–14) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1861 (ahead)1592
Hard-court ELO1734 (ahead)1543
Serve vs returnLast 46 vs 32 matches
1st-serve points won60% (ahead)57%
Return points won44%49% (ahead)
Aces / match1.21.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 46 vs 32 matches
Break points saved54% (ahead)52%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

17:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast26°C · Overcast
Wind5 km/h
Humidity86%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Sloane Stephens vs Carolina Kuhl — W35 Orlando Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-04/kuhl-vs-stephens-w35-orlando-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 4 November 2026).