T. Tokac vs Connor Henry Van Schalkwyk

UMPIRY

M25 HarlingenQ16QualifyingHardTue 3 Nov · 11:00

T. TokacTUR61%

VSSlight edge · Tokac T.

Connor Henry Van SchalkwykNAM39%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Tokac T.

61%39%

Tokac T. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Tokac T.4.2/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Van Schalkwyk C.5.7/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Recent runLost last 3Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 499

Hard ELO1 500

Last 104–5

Age56

ELO1 500

Hard ELO1 498

Last 104–6

Age21

T. Tokac faces Connor Henry Van Schalkwyk in the M25 Harlingen qualifying round of 16 on hard. T. Tokac brings the better recent hard form (3 of 6).

Key context

Last match: T. Tokac lost just 0 games in a 6–0 6–0 demolition of George Morales Jr.
Surface form: T. Tokac 3 of 6, Connor Henry Van Schalkwyk 2 of 6 on hard recently — T. Tokac the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Tokac T.Van Schalkwyk C.

FormLast 9 vs 10 matches · 2026

Win–loss4–54–6

Season win rate44% (4–5)0% (0–2)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO14991500

Hard-court ELO15001498

Serve vs returnLast 5 vs 1 matches

1st-serve points won75%77%

Return points won38%31%

Aces / match3.25.0

ClutchLast 5 vs 1 matches

Break points saved41%56%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast31°C · Mainly clear

Wind17 km/h

Humidity58%

Cite this

Umpiry, "T. Tokac vs Connor Henry Van Schalkwyk — M25 Harlingen Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-03/schalkwyk-vs-tokac-m25-harlingen-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 3 November 2026).