Alexandra Shubladze vs Liudmila Samsonova

UMPIRY

Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong KongR32HardTue 3 Nov · ~17:00Court 1 · After 2 matches

Alexandra ShubladzeWTA #136 · RUS45%

VSToss-up

Liudmila Samsonova(7)WTA #40 · RUS55%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

45%55%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Shubladze A.5.8/10

Slight disadvantage

Samsonova L.6.6/10

Marginal edge

Why

Surface+226 Hard Elo edgeSupports Samsonova L.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1775Supports Samsonova L.

Recent run2-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Shubladze A.

Opponent formOpponent hot: 8 of last 10Against the prediction · Shubladze A.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

ELO1 768

Hard ELO1 690

Last 108–2

Age21

EarningsCareer $131K2026 $69K

ELO1 908

Hard ELO1 768

Last 105–5

Age27

EarningsCareer $9.4M2026 $1.5M

Alexandra Shubladze faces Liudmila Samsonova in the Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong round of 32 on hard. Liudmila Samsonova is the paper favourite — ranked #40, a roughly 230-point hard Elo advantage — but Alexandra Shubladze arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on hard to Liudmila Samsonova's 5 of 10.

Key context

Freshness: Alexandra Shubladze comes in with 1 days of rest and 64 games in 14d, vs Liudmila Samsonova's 9 and 51.
Last match: Alexandra Shubladze dropped just 6 games past Emerson Jones.
Surface form: Alexandra Shubladze 8 of 10, Liudmila Samsonova 5 of 10 on hard recently — Alexandra Shubladze the sharper of late.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Shubladze A. and Samsonova L. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Shubladze A. went 1–0 (100%) against them, Samsonova L. 1–0 (100%).

1–0100%Shubladze A. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–0100%Samsonova L. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

2–0Sets2–0

12–6Games12–5

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Jones E.#132W6-4 6-2Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong · hardW6-4 6-1Brisbane · hard

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Shubladze A.Samsonova L.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss8–25–5

Season win rate76% (52–16)44% (21–27)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17681908

Hard-court ELO16901768

Serve vs returnLast 68 vs 45 matches

1st-serve points won62%67%

Return points won52%42%

Aces / match0.53.0

ClutchLast 68 vs 45 matches

Break points saved54%55%

When it starts

Court 1 · After 2 matches · Followed by

1Yastremska D. v Sonmez Z.Starting at 2:00 PM
2Inglis M. v Joint M.Followed by
3This match: Shubladze A. v Samsonova L.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Court 1 · ~17:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast25°C · Mainly clear

Wind19 km/h

Humidity80%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Shubladze A.Samsonova L.

1Days since last match9

2Matches · 7 days0

37Games · 7 days0

3Matches · 14 days2

64Games · 14 days51

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Alexandra Shubladze vs Liudmila Samsonova — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-03/samsonova-vs-shubladze-hong-kong-tennis-open-hong-kong-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 3 November 2026).