UMPIRY
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Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas vs Maxwell Mckennon — M25 Guadalajara Round of 32

M25 GuadalajaraR32ClayTue 3 Nov · 22:00
Ian Luca Cervantes TomasESP60%
VSSlight edge · Cervantes Tomas I.
Maxwell Mckennon(4)ATP #671 · USA40%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Cervantes Tomas I.
60%40%

Cervantes Tomas I. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Cervantes Tomas I.4.8/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
McKennon M.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on clayInformative
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Surface switchHard → ClaySupports Cervantes Tomas I.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 576
Clay ELO1 532
Last 107–3
Age22
ELO1 550
Clay ELO1 500
Last 103–7
Age24

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Cervantes Tomas I.McKennon M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate67% (12–6) (ahead)44% (11–14)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1576 (ahead)1550
Clay-court ELO1532 (ahead)1500
Serve vs returnLast 11 vs 23 matches
1st-serve points won60%70% (ahead)
Return points won44% (ahead)37%
Aces / match0.83.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 11 vs 23 matches
Break points saved51%60% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

22:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast4°C · Clear
Wind9 km/h
Humidity71%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas vs Maxwell Mckennon — M25 Guadalajara Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-03/mckennon-vs-tomas-m25-guadalajara-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 3 November 2026).