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Raphael Perot vs Hunter Heck — M25 Harlingen Round of 32

M25 HarlingenR32HardTue 3 Nov · 13:00
Raphael Perot(1)ATP #379 · FRA82%
VSStrong favourite · Perot R.
Hunter HeckATP #602 · USA18%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Perot R.
82%18%

Clear edge for Perot R. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Perot R.5.2/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Heck H.6.2/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Heck H.
CountryWon 74% in USA (39)Supports Perot R.
Recent runLost last 2Both players
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 665
Hard ELO1 620
Last 106–4
Age25
EarningsCareer $60K2026 $32K
ELO1 512
Hard ELO1 494
Last 106–4
Age24
EarningsCareer $25K2026 $10K

Raphael Perot faces Hunter Heck in the M25 Harlingen round of 32 on hard. Raphael Perot holds the paper edge — ranked #379. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Hunter Heck rising, Raphael Perot cooling.
  • Surface form: Both 6 of 9 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Perot R.Heck H.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate57% (23–17) (ahead)41% (7–10)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1665 (ahead)1512
Hard-court ELO1620 (ahead)1494
Serve vs returnLast 39 vs 15 matches
1st-serve points won65%69% (ahead)
Return points won43% (ahead)39%
Aces / match1.73.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 39 vs 15 matches
Break points saved55%56% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast33°C · Mainly clear
Wind12 km/h
Humidity50%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Raphael Perot vs Hunter Heck — M25 Harlingen Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-03/heck-vs-perot-m25-harlingen-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 3 November 2026).