UMPIRY
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Jesse Flores vs Tarun Karra — M25 Guadalajara Round of 32

M25 GuadalajaraR32ClayTue 3 Nov · 17:30
Jesse Flores(7)ATP #810 · CRC61%
VSSlight edge · Flores J.
Tarun KarraIND39%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Flores J.
61%39%

Flores J. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Flores J.5.2/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Karra T.4.8/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form1 of last 8 on clayInformative
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Surface switchHard → ClayAgainst the prediction · Karra T.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 514
Clay ELO1 472
Last 104–6
Age31
ELO1 472
Clay ELO1 501
Last 106–4
Age26

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Flores J.Karra T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–66–4 (ahead)
Season win rate38% (5–8)80% (4–1) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1514 (ahead)1472
Clay-court ELO14721501 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 13 vs 3 matches
1st-serve points won73% (ahead)60%
Return points won35%47% (ahead)
Aces / match5.3 (ahead)0.3
ClutchLast 13 vs 3 matches
Break points saved56% (ahead)11%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

17:30 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast11°C · Mainly clear
Wind15 km/h
Humidity42%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jesse Flores vs Tarun Karra — M25 Guadalajara Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-03/flores-vs-karra-m25-guadalajara-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 3 November 2026).