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M. Hopp vs Cezar Cretu — M25 Heraklion Round of 32

M25 HeraklionR32HardTue 3 Nov · 15:30
M. HoppATP #860 · GER19%
VSStrong favourite · Cretu C.
Cezar Cretu(2)ATP #269 · ROU81%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Cretu C.
19%81%

Clear edge for Cretu C. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Hopp M.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Cretu C.5.5/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 612
Hard ELO1 515
Last 105–5
Age27
ELO1 743
Hard ELO1 568
Last 106–4
Age25

M. Hopp faces Cezar Cretu in the M25 Heraklion round of 32 on hard. Cezar Cretu holds the paper edge — ranked #269, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Form trend: Cezar Cretu's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while M. Hopp's has cooled.
  • Fatigue load: M. Hopp carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Head-to-head: Cezar Cretu leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at M25 Antalya 6 2024.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Cretu C. leads 1–0
01

Evidence

Hopp M.Cretu C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–56–4 (ahead)
Season win rate59% (10–7)61% (30–19) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16121743 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15151568 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 15 vs 46 matches
1st-serve points won67% (ahead)64%
Return points won42%45% (ahead)
Aces / match1.51.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 15 vs 46 matches
Break points saved54% (ahead)52%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

15:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast25°C · Mainly clear
Wind16 km/h
Humidity68%

Cite this

Umpiry, "M. Hopp vs Cezar Cretu — M25 Heraklion Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-03/cretu-vs-hopp-m25-heraklion-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 3 November 2026).