UMPIRY
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Blu Baker vs Oswaldo Reyes Tirado — M25 Guadalajara Round of 32

M25 GuadalajaraR32ClayTue 3 Nov · 19:30
Blu BakerGBR75%
VSClear favourite · Baker B.
Oswaldo Reyes TiradoMEX25%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Baker B.
75%25%

Clear edge for Baker B. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Baker B.5.2/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Reyes Tirado O.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on clayInformative
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Surface switchHard → ClayBoth players
ELO1 600
Clay ELO1 598
Last 105–5
Age25
ELO1 484
Clay ELO1 497
Last 103–7
Age19

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Baker B.Reyes Tirado O.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate50% (6–6) (ahead)43% (3–4)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1600 (ahead)1484
Clay-court ELO1598 (ahead)1497
Serve vs returnLast 11 vs 5 matches
1st-serve points won65% (ahead)56%
Return points won42% (ahead)39%
Aces / match0.6 (ahead)0.4
ClutchLast 11 vs 5 matches
Break points saved44%51% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

19:30 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast7°C · Clear
Wind10 km/h
Humidity48%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Blu Baker vs Oswaldo Reyes Tirado — M25 Guadalajara Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-03/baker-vs-tirado-m25-guadalajara-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 3 November 2026).