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Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Demetris Azoides — M25 Heraklion Round of 32

M25 HeraklionR32HardTue 3 Nov · 13:00
Gilles Arnaud Bailly(4)ATP #484 · BEL89%
VSStrong favourite · Bailly G.
Demetris AzoidesATP #858 · GRE11%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Bailly G.
89%11%

Clear edge for Bailly G. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 9 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Bailly G.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Azoides D.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Azoides D.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 680
Hard ELO1 610
Last 103–7
PlaysRight
ELO1 530
Hard ELO1 522
Last 106–4
PlaysLeft

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Bailly G.Azoides D.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–76–4 (ahead)
Season win rate39% (16–25)56% (9–7) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1680 (ahead)1530
Hard-court ELO1610 (ahead)1522
Serve vs returnLast 40 vs 7 matches
1st-serve points won63% (ahead)60%
Return points won40%42% (ahead)
Aces / match1.11.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 40 vs 7 matches
Break points saved56% (ahead)42%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast26°C · Mainly clear
Wind11 km/h
Humidity60%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Demetris Azoides — M25 Heraklion Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-03/azoides-vs-bailly-m25-heraklion-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 3 November 2026).