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Jurij Rodionov vs Stefano Travaglia — Bratislava 2 Round of 32

Bratislava 2R32HardMon 2 Nov · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Rodionov J.
69%31%

Clear edge for Rodionov J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Rodionov J.6.4/10
Marginal edge
Travaglia S.5.8/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+45 Hard Elo edgeSupports Rodionov J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1636Supports Rodionov J.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Rodionov J.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Rodionov J.
ELO1 835
Hard ELO1 708
Last 106–4
Age27
Height191 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $1.8M2026 $273K
ELO1 728
Hard ELO1 659
Last 105–5
Age34
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.8M2026 $177K

Jurij Rodionov faces Stefano Travaglia in the Bratislava 2 round of 32 on hard. Jurij Rodionov is the paper favourite — ranked #137, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage — but Stefano Travaglia has won 2 of their 3 previous meetings. Stefano Travaglia brings the better recent hard form (4 of 6).

Key context

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Rodionov J. and Travaglia S. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Rodionov J. went 1–1 (50%) against them, Travaglia S. 1–1 (50%).

1–150%Rodionov J. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–150%Travaglia S. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
2–2Sets2–2
20–21Games23–21
0–1Tiebreaks0–1

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Travaglia S. leads 2–1
12

Clay: Travaglia S. leads 2–0 · Hard: Rodionov J. leads 1–0

Evidence

Rodionov J.Travaglia S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate62% (41–25) (ahead)53% (32–28)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1835 (ahead)1728
Hard-court ELO1708 (ahead)1659
Serve vs returnLast 61 vs 57 matches
1st-serve points won73% (ahead)71%
Return points won38%40% (ahead)
Aces / match5.85.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 61 vs 57 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)59%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast9°C · Rain
Wind23 km/h
Humidity93%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Rodionov J.Travaglia S.
4 — fresherDays since last match2
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
20 — fresherGames · 7 days82
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days3
51 — fresherGames · 14 days82
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jurij Rodionov vs Stefano Travaglia — Bratislava 2 Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/rodionov-vs-travaglia-bratislava-2-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).