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Tomas Barrios Vera vs Henrique Rocha — Costa do Sauipe Round of 32

Costa do SauipeR32ClayMon 2 Nov · 12:00
Tomas Barrios VeraATP #156 · CHI41%
VSSlight edge · Rocha H.
Henrique Rocha(3)ATP #100 · POR59%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Rocha H.
41%59%

Rocha H. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Barrios Vera T.5.6/10
Slight disadvantage
Rocha H.6.6/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+78 Clay Elo edgeSupports Rocha H.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1676Supports Rocha H.
Head-to-headLeads 2–1 on claySupports Rocha H.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysBoth players
ELO1 792
Clay ELO1 702
Last 105–5
Age28
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $300K
ELO1 797
Clay ELO1 694
Last 107–3
Age22
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $966K2026 $280K

Tomas Barrios Vera faces Henrique Rocha in the Costa do Sauipe round of 32 on clay. Henrique Rocha holds the paper edge — ranked #100, leading the head-to-head 3–2, a roughly 80-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Freshness: Workload contrast: Tomas Barrios Vera 68 games in 14 days, Henrique Rocha 68.
  • Head-to-head: Henrique Rocha leads the head-to-head 3–2, 1–2 on clay. Last met at Wimbledon 2025.
  • Surface form: Both 2 of 5 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Barrios Vera T. and Rocha H. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Barrios Vera T. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Rocha H. 1–0 (100%).

0–10%Barrios Vera T. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–0100%Rocha H. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
0–2Sets1–0
8–13Games6–4

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Rocha H. leads 3–2
23

Grass: Barrios Vera T. leads 1–0 · Hard: Rocha H. leads 1–0 · Clay: Rocha H. leads 2–1

Evidence

Barrios Vera T.Rocha H.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–57–3 (ahead)
Season win rate49% (29–30)60% (37–25) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17921797 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO1702 (ahead)1694
Serve vs returnLast 48 vs 57 matches
1st-serve points won65%69% (ahead)
Return points won39%41% (ahead)
Aces / match2.83.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 48 vs 57 matches
Break points saved61% (ahead)59%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast29°C · Drizzle
Wind17 km/h
Humidity68%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Barrios Vera T.Rocha H.
3Days since last match9 — fresher
2Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
37Games · 7 days0 — fresher
3Matches · 14 days3
68Games · 14 days68
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Tomas Barrios Vera vs Henrique Rocha — Costa do Sauipe Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/rocha-vs-vera-costa-do-sauipe-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).