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Mili Poljicak vs Sho Shimabukuro — Taipei Round of 32

TaipeiR32HardMon 2 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
45%55%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Poljicak M.4.5/10
Heavy underdog
Shimabukuro S.6.6/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+309 Hard Elo edgeSupports Shimabukuro S.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1672Supports Shimabukuro S.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 698
Hard ELO1 558
Last 102–8
Age22
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $240K2026 $53K
ELO1 780
Hard ELO1 665
Last 103–7
Age29
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.2M2026 $427K

Mili Poljicak faces Sho Shimabukuro in the Taipei round of 32 on hard. Sho Shimabukuro holds the paper edge — ranked #106, a roughly 310-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Poljicak M.Shimabukuro S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss2–83–7 (ahead)
Season win rate55% (23–19) (ahead)51% (31–30)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16981780 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15581665 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 41 vs 55 matches
1st-serve points won72%72%
Return points won37% (ahead)36%
Aces / match6.1 (ahead)5.8
ClutchLast 41 vs 55 matches
Break points saved58%60% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast29°C · Mainly clear
Wind4 km/h
Humidity59%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Poljicak M.Shimabukuro S.
6 — fresherDays since last match2
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
32 — fresherGames · 7 days52
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
32 — fresherGames · 14 days100
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mili Poljicak vs Sho Shimabukuro — Taipei Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/poljicak-vs-shimabukuro-taipei-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).