UMPIRY
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Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel — Bratislava 2 Round of 32

Bratislava 2R32HardMon 2 Nov · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Samuel T.
22%78%

Clear edge for Samuel T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Pokorny L.5.8/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Samuel T.5.9/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Pokorny L.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 675
Hard ELO1 645
Last 108–2
Age24
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $140K2026 $17K
ELO1 873
Hard ELO1 762
Last 105–5
Age24
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $651K2026 $536K

Lukas Pokorny faces Toby Samuel in the Bratislava 2 round of 32 on hard. Toby Samuel is the paper favourite — ranked #97 — but Lukas Pokorny arrives in form, winning all 5 of their last hard matches to Toby Samuel's 1 of 5.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Pokorny L.Samuel T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate63% (22–13)67% (38–19) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16751873 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16451762 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 28 vs 55 matches
1st-serve points won72% (ahead)69%
Return points won38%41% (ahead)
Aces / match6.3 (ahead)4.4
ClutchLast 28 vs 55 matches
Break points saved64%65% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast9°C · Rain
Wind23 km/h
Humidity93%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel — Bratislava 2 Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/pokorny-vs-samuel-bratislava-2-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).