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Maxim Mrva vs Michele Ribecai — Taranto Round of 32

TarantoR32HardMon 2 Nov · 10:00
Maxim Mrva(7)ATP #228 · CZE52%
VSToss-up
Michele RibecaiATP #265 · ITA48%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
52%48%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Mrva M.6.8/10
Slight advantage
Ribecai M.5.1/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+215 Hard Elo edgeSupports Mrva M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1500Supports Mrva M.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Mrva M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 700
Hard ELO1 575
Last 105–5
Age19
EarningsCareer $116K2026 $50K
ELO1 675
Hard ELO1 592
Last 106–4
Age23
EarningsCareer $95K2026 $53K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Mrva M.Ribecai M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–56–4 (ahead)
Season win rate56% (35–27) (ahead)49% (27–28)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1700 (ahead)1675
Hard-court ELO15751592 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 60 vs 54 matches
1st-serve points won64%65% (ahead)
Return points won44% (ahead)41%
Aces / match2.9 (ahead)1.5
ClutchLast 60 vs 54 matches
Break points saved52%59% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast17°C · Showers
Wind24 km/h
Humidity81%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Mrva M.Ribecai M.
13 — fresherDays since last match7
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days1
0 — fresherGames · 7 days27
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
52 — fresherGames · 14 days110
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Maxim Mrva vs Michele Ribecai — Taranto Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/mrva-vs-ribecai-taranto-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).