James Mccabe vs Rei Sakamoto | Taipei Round of 32

UMPIRY

TaipeiR32HardMon 2 Nov · 10:00

James MccabeATP #255 · AUS11%

VSStrong favourite · Sakamoto R.

Rei Sakamoto(5)ATP #125 · JPN89%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Sakamoto R.

11%89%

Clear edge for Sakamoto R. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 9 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

McCabe J.5.0/10

Heavy underdog

Sakamoto R.6.6/10

Marginal edge

Why

Surface+108 Hard Elo edgeSupports Sakamoto R.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1608Supports Sakamoto R.

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Long matches3 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Sakamoto R.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

ELO1 668

Hard ELO1 574

Last 102–8

Age23

Height188 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $872K2026 $159K

ELO1 877

Hard ELO1 772

Last 107–3

Age20

Height193 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $570K2026 $311K

James Mccabe faces Rei Sakamoto in the Taipei round of 32 on hard. Rei Sakamoto holds the paper edge — ranked #125, a roughly 110-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Freshness: James Mccabe comes in with 5 days of rest and 93 games in 14d, vs Rei Sakamoto's 2 and 84.
Surface form: James Mccabe 2 of 10, Rei Sakamoto 7 of 10 on hard recently — Rei Sakamoto the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

McCabe J.Sakamoto R.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss2–87–3

Season win rate42% (19–26)63% (42–25)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16681877

Hard-court ELO15741772

Serve vs returnLast 42 vs 64 matches

1st-serve points won74%74%

Return points won32%37%

Aces / match8.18.1

ClutchLast 42 vs 64 matches

Break points saved62%59%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast29°C · Mainly clear

Wind4 km/h

Humidity59%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

McCabe J.Sakamoto R.

5Days since last match2

1Matches · 7 days3

28Games · 7 days38

3Matches · 14 days5

93Games · 14 days84

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "James Mccabe vs Rei Sakamoto — Taipei Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/mccabe-vs-sakamoto-taipei-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).