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Yosuke Watanuki vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong — Taipei Qualifying Round of 16

TaipeiQ16QualifyingHardMon 2 Nov · 11:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
49%51%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Watanuki Y.6.5/10
Marginal edge
Kang Leong M.3.7/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+357 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Watanuki Y.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1540Against the prediction · Watanuki Y.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 754
Hard ELO1 679
Last 106–4
Age28
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.6M2026 $74K
ELO1 607
Hard ELO1 588
Last 105–5
Age22
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $66K2026 $18K

Yosuke Watanuki faces Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong in the Taipei qualifying round of 16 on hard. Yosuke Watanuki holds the paper edge — ranked #374, a roughly 360-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Watanuki Y.Kang Leong M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate46% (13–15)61% (25–16) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1754 (ahead)1607
Hard-court ELO1679 (ahead)1588
Serve vs returnLast 24 vs 40 matches
1st-serve points won71%71%
Return points won40%41% (ahead)
Aces / match6.2 (ahead)5.3
ClutchLast 24 vs 40 matches
Break points saved56%59% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast29°C · Drizzle
Wind6 km/h
Humidity62%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Watanuki Y.Kang Leong M.
16 — fresherDays since last match6
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days1
0 — fresherGames · 7 days22
0 — fresherMatches · 14 days3
0 — fresherGames · 14 days68
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Yosuke Watanuki vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong — Taipei Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/leong-vs-watanuki-taipei-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).