Maddison Inglis vs Maya Joint — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 32
Why
Surface+99 Hard Elo edgeSupports Joint M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1659Supports Joint M.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Joint M.
Long matches4 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Inglis M.
ELO1 786
Hard ELO1 723
Last 105–5
Age28
Height171 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.9M2026 $432K
ELO1 860
Hard ELO1 747
Last 106–4
Age20
Height167 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.6M2026 $1.2M
Maddison Inglis faces Maya Joint in the Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong round of 32 on hard. Maya Joint holds the paper edge — ranked #94, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 100-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Maddison Inglis 35 games in 14 days, Maya Joint 189.
- Under pressure: Maya Joint has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 55 vs Maddison Inglis's 22).
- Head-to-head: Maya Joint leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Brisbane 2024.
Common opponents
6 shared · last 12 monthsInglis M. and Joint M. faced 6 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Inglis M. went 4–2 (67%) against them, Joint M. 3–4 (43%). Inglis M. came out better against 3 of 6 comparable opponents, Joint M. against 1 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (lower-tier event).
4–267%Inglis M. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents3–443%Joint M. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
9–5Sets8–9
72–68Games74–83
1–1Tiebreaks2–0
1–1Deciding sets1–2
vs Swiatek I.#8L0-6 3-6Australian Open · hardL1-6 1-6United Cup · hard
vs Cirstea S.#16L4-6 7-5 2-6London · grassW6-4 6-4Toronto · hard
vs Birrell K.#41W7-6 6-7 6-4Australian Open · hardL4-6 2-6Korea Open - Seoul · hard
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vs Korpatsch T.#59W6-4 6-4Australian Open · hardL6-0 3-6 4-6Cincinnati · hard
vs Sonmez Z.#64W6-4 6-4Beijing · hardL6-3 4-6 3-6Japan Open - Osaka · hard
vs Yao X.#268W6-1 7-5Beijing · hardW2-6 7-6(7) 6-3Korea Open - Seoul · hard
Evidence
Inglis M.Joint M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–56–4 (ahead)
Season win rate52% (17–16) (ahead)46% (23–27)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17861860 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17231747 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 30 vs 49 matches
1st-serve points won64% (ahead)58%
Return points won41%44% (ahead)
Aces / match2.0 (ahead)1.9
ClutchLast 30 vs 49 matches
Break points saved52%56% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Maddison Inglis vs Maya Joint — Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/inglis-vs-joint-hong-kong-tennis-open-hong-kong-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).