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Gustavo Heide vs Guido Ivan Justo — Costa do Sauipe Round of 32

Costa do SauipeR32ClayMon 2 Nov · 12:00
Gustavo Heide(5)ATP #113 · BRA69%
VSClear favourite · Heide G.
Guido Ivan JustoATP #182 · ARG31%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Heide G.
69%31%

Clear edge for Heide G. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Heide G.7.3/10
Strong advantage
Justo G.5.6/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+246 Clay Elo edgeSupports Heide G.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1695Supports Heide G.
Head-to-headSplit 1–1 on clayAgainst the prediction · Justo G.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 778
Clay ELO1 766
Last 107–3
Age24
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $673K2026 $230K
ELO1 728
Clay ELO1 718
Last 107–3
Age28
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $159K2026 $57K

Gustavo Heide faces Guido Ivan Justo in the Costa do Sauipe round of 32 on clay. Gustavo Heide holds the paper edge — ranked #113, a roughly 250-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.

Key context

  • Freshness: Gustavo Heide comes in with 8 days of rest and 90 games in 14d, vs Guido Ivan Justo's 17 and 0.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Gustavo Heide has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 51 vs 12).
  • Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1. Last met at Curitiba 2026.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1
11

Evidence

Heide G.Justo G.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate63% (41–24)64% (48–27) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1778 (ahead)1728
Clay-court ELO1766 (ahead)1718
Serve vs returnLast 62 vs 74 matches
1st-serve points won72% (ahead)64%
Return points won41%45% (ahead)
Aces / match3.9 (ahead)1.3
ClutchLast 62 vs 74 matches
Break points saved63% (ahead)57%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast29°C · Drizzle
Wind17 km/h
Humidity68%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Heide G.Justo G.
8Days since last match17 — fresher
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
4Matches · 14 days0 — fresher
90Games · 14 days0 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Gustavo Heide vs Guido Ivan Justo — Costa do Sauipe Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/heide-vs-justo-costa-do-sauipe-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).