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Hugo Grenier vs Marvin Moeller — Taranto Round of 32

TarantoR32HardMon 2 Nov · 10:00
Hugo GrenierATP #403 · FRA46%
VSToss-up
Marvin Moeller(5)ATP #225 · GER54%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
46%54%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Grenier H.6.4/10
Marginal edge
Moeller M.5.6/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+158 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Grenier H.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1548Against the prediction · Grenier H.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Surface switchClay → HardAgainst the prediction · Grenier H.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 722
Hard ELO1 669
Last 105–5
Age30
Height196 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $143K
ELO1 755
Hard ELO1 630
Last 107–3
Age27
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $198K2026 $42K

Hugo Grenier faces Marvin Moeller in the Taranto round of 32 on hard. Marvin Moeller holds the paper edge — ranked #225.

Key context

  • Freshness: Hugo Grenier comes in with 5 days of rest and 23 games in 14d, vs Marvin Moeller's 16 and 0.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Marvin Moeller has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 48 vs 22).

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Grenier H.Moeller M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–57–3 (ahead)
Season win rate40% (18–27)69% (34–15) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17221755 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1669 (ahead)1630
Serve vs returnLast 41 vs 48 matches
1st-serve points won70%70%
Return points won37%42% (ahead)
Aces / match5.9 (ahead)2.9
ClutchLast 41 vs 48 matches
Break points saved57%63% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast17°C · Showers
Wind24 km/h
Humidity81%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Grenier H.Moeller M.
5Days since last match16 — fresher
1Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
23Games · 7 days0 — fresher
1Matches · 14 days0 — fresher
23Games · 14 days0 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Hugo Grenier vs Marvin Moeller — Taranto Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/grenier-vs-moeller-taranto-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).