UMPIRY
EN

Alastair Gray vs Valentin Royer — Charlottesville Round of 32

CharlottesvilleR32HardMon 2 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Royer V.
41%59%

Royer V. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Gray A.4.2/10
Heavy underdog
Royer V.6.5/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+214 Hard Elo edgeSupports Royer V.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1641Supports Royer V.
Recent runLost last 4Informative
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Royer V.
CountryWon 62% in USA (24)Informative
ELO1 717
Hard ELO1 677
Last 107–3
Age28
Height193 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $331K2026 $38K
ELO1 811
Hard ELO1 662
Last 103–7
Age25
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.9M2026 $789K

Alastair Gray faces Valentin Royer in the Charlottesville round of 32 on hard. Valentin Royer is the paper favourite — ranked #117, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 210-point hard Elo advantage — but Alastair Gray arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 9 on hard to Valentin Royer's 3 of 9.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Royer V. leads 1–0
01

Evidence

Gray A.Royer V.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate55% (29–24) (ahead)42% (24–33)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17171811 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1677 (ahead)1662
Serve vs returnLast 51 vs 57 matches
1st-serve points won72% (ahead)68%
Return points won38% (ahead)37%
Aces / match6.3 (ahead)5.3
ClutchLast 51 vs 57 matches
Break points saved65% (ahead)60%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast15°C · Overcast
Wind6 km/h
Humidity53%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Alastair Gray vs Valentin Royer — Charlottesville Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/gray-vs-royer-charlottesville-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).