Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Moise Kouame

UMPIRY

Rolex Paris Masters - ParisR64HardMon 2 Nov · 10:00

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina(13)ATP #15 · ESP87%

VSStrong favourite · Davidovich Fokina A.

Moise KouameATP #176 · FRA13%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Davidovich Fokina A.

87%13%

Clear edge for Davidovich Fokina A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 8 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Davidovich Fokina A.8.2/10

Dominant favourite

Kouame M.5.4/10

Clear underdog

Why

Surface+293 Hard Elo edgeSupports Davidovich Fokina A.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1893Supports Davidovich Fokina A.

Recent run6-match win streakSupports Davidovich Fokina A.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO2 130

Hard ELO1 960

Last 109–1

Age27

Height183 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $12.3M2026 $1.4M

ELO1 658

Hard ELO1 590

Last 106–4

Age17

Height190 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $430K2026 $362K

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina faces Moise Kouame in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris round of 64 on hard. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina holds the paper edge — ranked #15, a roughly 290-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 30 games in 14 days, Moise Kouame 115.
Win streak: Both arrive in form — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina on a 6-match run, Moise Kouame on 4.
Surface form: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7 of 8, Moise Kouame 5 of 8 on hard recently — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina the sharper of late.

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Davidovich Fokina A. and Kouame M. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Davidovich Fokina A. went 2–0 (100%) against them, Kouame M. 1–1 (50%).

2–0100%Davidovich Fokina A. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents1–150%Kouame M. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

4–0Sets2–3

26–14Games21–27

1–0Tiebreaks0–0

0–0Deciding sets1–0

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Svajda Z.#76W7-6 6-2Indian Wells Masters · hardW5-7 6-4 6-4Miami Masters · hard
vs Muller A.#130W6-1 7-5Chengdu · hardL4-6 0-6Chengdu · hard

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Davidovich Fokina A.Kouame M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss9–16–4

Season win rate67% (33–16)49% (21–22)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO21301658

Hard-court ELO19601590

Serve vs returnLast 49 vs 39 matches

1st-serve points won71%70%

Return points won36%39%

Aces / match4.64.7

ClutchLast 49 vs 39 matches

Break points saved67%66%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast9°C · Partly cloudy

Wind8 km/h

Humidity80%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Davidovich Fokina A.Kouame M.

14Days since last match1

0Matches · 7 days4

0Games · 7 days72

1Matches · 14 days6

30Games · 14 days115

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Moise Kouame — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/fokina-vs-kouame-rolex-paris-masters-paris-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).