UMPIRY
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Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana — Costa do Sauipe Round of 32

Costa do SauipeR32ClayMon 2 Nov · 12:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Comesana F.
28%72%

Clear edge for Comesana F. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Cecchinato M.5.4/10
Clear underdog
Comesana F.6.3/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+110 Clay Elo edgeSupports Comesana F.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1695Supports Comesana F.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on clayAgainst the prediction · Cecchinato M.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Comesana F.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 766
Clay ELO1 723
Last 104–6
Age34
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $5.3M2026 $204K
ELO1 847
Clay ELO1 771
Last 105–5
Age26
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.5M2026 $626K

Marco Cecchinato faces Francisco Comesana in the Costa do Sauipe round of 32 on clay. Francisco Comesana is the paper favourite — ranked #128, a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage — but Marco Cecchinato has won their only previous meeting.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Cecchinato M. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Cecchinato M.Comesana F.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–65–5 (ahead)
Season win rate57% (39–29) (ahead)45% (21–26)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17661847 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO17231771 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 66 vs 45 matches
1st-serve points won69%71% (ahead)
Return points won39% (ahead)38%
Aces / match2.76.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 66 vs 45 matches
Break points saved62% (ahead)57%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast29°C · Drizzle
Wind17 km/h
Humidity68%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Cecchinato M.Comesana F.
11 — fresherDays since last match10
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
2Matches · 14 days2
44Games · 14 days42 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana — Costa do Sauipe Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/cecchinato-vs-comesana-costa-do-sauipe-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).