UMPIRY
EN

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli — Costa do Sauipe Round of 32

Costa do SauipeR32ClayMon 2 Nov · 12:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Ugo Carabelli C.
33%67%

Clear edge for Ugo Carabelli C. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Sanchez Izquierdo N.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Ugo Carabelli C.6.7/10
Slight advantage
Why
Surface+208 Clay Elo edgeSupports Ugo Carabelli C.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1759Supports Ugo Carabelli C.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on claySupports Ugo Carabelli C.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Ugo Carabelli C.
ELO1 717
Clay ELO1 694
Last 107–3
Age27
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $378K2026 $101K
ELO1 829
Clay ELO1 808
Last 104–6
Age27
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.9M2026 $839K

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo faces Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Costa do Sauipe round of 32 on clay. Camilo Ugo Carabelli holds the paper edge — ranked #75, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 210-point clay Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Ugo Carabelli C. leads 2–0
02

Evidence

Sanchez Izquierdo N.Ugo Carabelli C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate57% (36–27) (ahead)49% (24–25)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17171829 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO16941808 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 62 vs 49 matches
1st-serve points won66%69% (ahead)
Return points won42% (ahead)37%
Aces / match1.93.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 62 vs 49 matches
Break points saved56%58% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast29°C · Drizzle
Wind17 km/h
Humidity68%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Sanchez Izquierdo N.Ugo Carabelli C.
12 — fresherDays since last match2
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
0 — fresherGames · 7 days32
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days3
25 — fresherGames · 14 days32
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli — Costa do Sauipe Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/carabelli-vs-izquierdo-costa-do-sauipe-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).