UMPIRY
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Florent Bax vs Gianluca Cadenasso — Taranto Round of 32

TarantoR32HardMon 2 Nov · 10:00
Florent BaxATP #290 · FRA56%
VSToss-up
Gianluca Cadenasso(3)ATP #202 · ITA44%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
56%44%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Bax F.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Cadenasso G.6.4/10
Marginal edgeBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface+4 Hard Elo edgeSupports Bax F.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1545Against the prediction · Cadenasso G.
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Bax F.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 687
Hard ELO1 630
Last 107–3
Age27
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $195K2026 $93K
ELO1 726
Hard ELO1 546
Last 107–3
Age22
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $237K2026 $139K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Bax F.Cadenasso G.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate59% (38–26) (ahead)54% (20–17)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16871726 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1630 (ahead)1546
Serve vs returnLast 58 vs 36 matches
1st-serve points won76% (ahead)67%
Return points won38%43% (ahead)
Aces / match6.7 (ahead)2.5
ClutchLast 58 vs 36 matches
Break points saved65% (ahead)52%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast17°C · Showers
Wind24 km/h
Humidity81%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Florent Bax vs Gianluca Cadenasso — Taranto Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/bax-vs-cadenasso-taranto-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).