UMPIRY
EN

Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida — Costa do Sauipe Round of 32

Costa do SauipeR32ClayMon 2 Nov · 12:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Diaz Acosta F.
65%35%

Diaz Acosta F. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Diaz Acosta F.7.3/10
Strong advantage
Pucinelli de Almeida M.6.1/10
Even match
Why
Surface+264 Clay Elo edgeSupports Diaz Acosta F.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1680Supports Diaz Acosta F.
Recent run5-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Pucinelli de Almeida M.
Surface switchHard → ClayAgainst the prediction · Pucinelli de Almeida M.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Diaz Acosta F.
ELO1 849
Clay ELO1 821
Last 106–4
Age25
Height183 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $1.8M2026 $374K
ELO1 762
Clay ELO1 737
Last 108–2
Age25
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $367K2026 $32K

Facundo Diaz Acosta faces Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida in the Costa do Sauipe round of 32 on clay. Facundo Diaz Acosta is the paper favourite — ranked #70, a roughly 260-point clay Elo advantage — but Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida rides a 5-match win streak. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Diaz Acosta F.Pucinelli de Almeida M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–48–2 (ahead)
Season win rate71% (51–21) (ahead)68% (36–17)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1849 (ahead)1762
Clay-court ELO1821 (ahead)1737
Serve vs returnLast 70 vs 52 matches
1st-serve points won69% (ahead)68%
Return points won42%44% (ahead)
Aces / match3.0 (ahead)2.1
ClutchLast 70 vs 52 matches
Break points saved60%63% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast29°C · Drizzle
Wind17 km/h
Humidity68%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Diaz Acosta F.Pucinelli de Almeida M.
11 — fresherDays since last match7
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days1
0 — fresherGames · 7 days22
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
48 — fresherGames · 14 days120
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida — Costa do Sauipe Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/acosta-vs-almeida-costa-do-sauipe-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).