UMPIRY
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Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian — Villa Maria Round of 32

Villa MariaR32ClayMon 2 Nov · 08:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Aboian V.
29%71%

Clear edge for Aboian V. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Magadan A.5.9/10
Even match
Aboian V.6.7/10
Slight advantage
Why
Surface+101 Clay Elo edgeSupports Aboian V.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1348Supports Aboian V.
Long matches5 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Magadan A.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 573
Clay ELO1 516
Last 106–4
Age25
EarningsCareer $87K2026 $36K
ELO1 697
Clay ELO1 680
Last 107–3
Age24
EarningsCareer $145K2026 $29K

Alan Magadan faces Valerio Aboian in the Villa Maria round of 32 on clay. Valerio Aboian holds the paper edge — ranked #283, a roughly 100-point clay Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Magadan A.Aboian V.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate49% (17–18)61% (42–27) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15731697 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15161680 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 31 vs 67 matches
1st-serve points won67%68% (ahead)
Return points won40%41% (ahead)
Aces / match3.84.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 31 vs 67 matches
Break points saved58%58%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

08:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast10°C · Overcast
Wind17 km/h
Humidity79%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Magadan A.Aboian V.
4 — fresherDays since last match1
3 — fresherMatches · 7 days5
55 — fresherGames · 7 days122
5 — fresherMatches · 14 days9
88 — fresherGames · 14 days223
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian — Villa Maria Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/aboian-vs-magadan-villa-maria-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).