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Rocco Valente vs Ryo Tabata — Villa Maria Qualifying Round of 32

Villa MariaQ32QualifyingClaySun 1 Nov · 08:10
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
54%46%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Valente R.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Tabata R.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 5 on clayInformative
Recent runLost last 2Both players
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 527
Clay ELO1 532
Last 107–3
Age22
ELO1 527
Clay ELO1 521
Last 104–6
Age18

Rocco Valente faces Ryo Tabata in the Villa Maria qualifying round of 32 on clay. Rocco Valente brings the better recent clay form (3 of 5).

Key context

  • Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Rocco Valente rising, Ryo Tabata cooling.
  • Surface form: Rocco Valente 3 of 5, Ryo Tabata 2 of 5 on clay recently — Rocco Valente the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Rocco Valente carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Valente R.Tabata R.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate53% (8–7) (ahead)52% (14–13)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15271527
Clay-court ELO1532 (ahead)1521
Serve vs returnLast 13 vs 19 matches
1st-serve points won63% (ahead)62%
Return points won42% (ahead)40%
Aces / match1.11.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 13 vs 19 matches
Break points saved61% (ahead)57%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

08:10 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast2°C · Mainly clear
Wind11 km/h
Humidity92%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Rocco Valente vs Ryo Tabata — Villa Maria Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-01/tabata-vs-valente-villa-maria-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 1 November 2026).