UMPIRY
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M. Sciahbasi vs Arvid Nordquist — Taranto Qualifying Round of 32

TarantoQ32QualifyingHardSun 1 Nov · 13:30
M. SciahbasiATP #870 · ITA32%
VSClear favourite · Nordquist A.
Arvid NordquistATP #653 · SWE68%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Nordquist A.
32%68%

Clear edge for Nordquist A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Sciahbasi M.5.9/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Nordquist A.5.5/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Nordquist A.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 535
Hard ELO1 508
Last 104–6
Age19
ELO1 579
Hard ELO1 558
Last 108–2
Age28

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Sciahbasi M.Nordquist A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–68–2 (ahead)
Season win rate59% (17–12)72% (18–7) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15351579 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15081558 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 23 vs 13 matches
1st-serve points won63%70% (ahead)
Return points won44% (ahead)41%
Aces / match1.02.1 (ahead)
ClutchLast 23 vs 13 matches
Break points saved49%56% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast17°C · Overcast
Wind5 km/h
Humidity55%

Cite this

Umpiry, "M. Sciahbasi vs Arvid Nordquist — Taranto Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-01/nordquist-vs-sciahbasi-taranto-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 1 November 2026).