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Radovan Michalik vs Vadym Ursu — Bratislava 2 Qualifying Round of 32

Bratislava 2Q32QualifyingHardSun 1 Nov · 15:40
Radovan MichalikSVK25%
VSClear favourite · Ursu V.
Vadym UrsuATP #412 · UKR75%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Ursu V.
25%75%

Clear edge for Ursu V. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Michalik R.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Ursu V.5.5/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 4Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 526
Hard ELO1 452
Last 102–8
Age23
ELO1 625
Hard ELO1 601
Last 103–7
Age29

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Michalik R.Ursu V.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss2–83–7 (ahead)
Season win rate28% (5–13) (ahead)26% (7–20)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15261625 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14521601 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 13 vs 27 matches
1st-serve points won61%65% (ahead)
Return points won35%39% (ahead)
Aces / match2.23.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 13 vs 27 matches
Break points saved53%59% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

15:40 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast11°C · Rain
Wind16 km/h
Humidity92%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Radovan Michalik vs Vadym Ursu — Bratislava 2 Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-01/michalik-vs-ursu-bratislava-2-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 1 November 2026).