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Andrej Martin vs Eero Vasa — Bratislava 2 Qualifying Round of 32

Bratislava 2Q32QualifyingHardSun 1 Nov · 19:00
Andrej MartinATP #346 · SVK49%
VSToss-up
Eero VasaATP #475 · FIN51%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
49%51%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Martin A.5.7/10
Slight disadvantage
Vasa E.4.9/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+46 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Martin A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1470Against the prediction · Martin A.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
ELO1 717
Hard ELO1 482
Last 105–5
Age37
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
ELO1 644
Hard ELO1 556
Last 106–4
Age29
Height185 cm
PlaysRight

Andrej Martin faces Eero Vasa in the Bratislava 2 qualifying round of 32 on hard. Andrej Martin holds the paper edge — ranked #346, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

  • Head-to-head: Andrej Martin leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at Liberec CH 2025.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Martin A. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Martin A.Vasa E.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–56–4 (ahead)
Season win rate59% (24–17) (ahead)54% (29–25)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1717 (ahead)1644
Hard-court ELO14821556 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 40 vs 43 matches
1st-serve points won67%70% (ahead)
Return points won42% (ahead)39%
Aces / match2.45.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 40 vs 43 matches
Break points saved59%60% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

19:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast10°C · Rain
Wind19 km/h
Humidity92%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Andrej Martin vs Eero Vasa — Bratislava 2 Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-01/martin-vs-vasa-bratislava-2-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 1 November 2026).