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Lucas Poullain vs Tomas Lanik — Bratislava 2 Qualifying Round of 32

Bratislava 2Q32QualifyingHardSun 1 Nov · 14:30
Lucas PoullainATP #328 · FRA61%
VSSlight edge · Poullain L.
Tomas LanikSVK39%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Poullain L.
61%39%

Poullain L. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Poullain L.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Lanik T.4.5/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardSupports Poullain L.
Recent runLost last 9Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 710
Hard ELO1 662
Last 105–5
Age30
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
ELO1 550
Hard ELO1 500
Last 106–4
Age24
Height183 cm
PlaysRight

Lucas Poullain faces Tomas Lanik in the Bratislava 2 qualifying round of 32 on hard. Tomas Lanik brings the better recent hard form (6 of 9).

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Tomas Lanik carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Lucas Poullain 4 of 9, Tomas Lanik 6 of 9 on hard recently — Tomas Lanik the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Poullain L.Lanik T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–56–4 (ahead)
Season win rate57% (25–19)61% (20–13) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1710 (ahead)1550
Hard-court ELO1662 (ahead)1500
Serve vs returnLast 42 vs 25 matches
1st-serve points won66%75% (ahead)
Return points won41% (ahead)39%
Aces / match1.95.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 42 vs 25 matches
Break points saved58%65% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

14:30 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast11°C · Rain
Wind19 km/h
Humidity90%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Lucas Poullain vs Tomas Lanik — Bratislava 2 Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-01/lanik-vs-poullain-bratislava-2-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 1 November 2026).