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Giles Hussey vs Samuel Heredia — Charlottesville Qualifying Round of 32

CharlottesvilleQ32QualifyingHardSun 1 Nov · 10:00
Giles HusseyATP #322 · GBR71%
VSClear favourite · Hussey G.
Samuel HerediaATP #632 · COL29%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Hussey G.
71%29%

Clear edge for Hussey G. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Hussey G.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Heredia S.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form8 of last 10 on hardSupports Hussey G.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Hussey G.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 723
Hard ELO1 666
Last 105–5
Age29
EarningsCareer $190K2026 $48K
ELO1 524
Hard ELO1 526
Last 102–8
Age20
EarningsCareer $38K2026 $14K

Giles Hussey faces Samuel Heredia in the Charlottesville qualifying round of 32 on hard. Giles Hussey holds the paper edge — ranked #322. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Samuel Heredia carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 1 of 4 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Hussey G.Heredia S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)2–8
Season win rate61% (20–13) (ahead)40% (12–18)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1723 (ahead)1524
Hard-court ELO1666 (ahead)1526
Serve vs returnLast 26 vs 25 matches
1st-serve points won66%69% (ahead)
Return points won41% (ahead)37%
Aces / match2.84.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 26 vs 25 matches
Break points saved58%62% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast15°C · Clear
Wind3 km/h
Humidity61%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Giles Hussey vs Samuel Heredia — Charlottesville Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-01/heredia-vs-hussey-charlottesville-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 1 November 2026).