Sebastian Gima vs Ryan Peniston | Taranto Qualifying Round of 32

UMPIRY

TarantoQ32QualifyingHardSun 1 Nov · 13:30

Sebastian GimaATP #508 · ROU50%

VSToss-up

Ryan PenistonATP #884 · GBR50%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

50%50%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Gima S.4.6/10

Heavy underdog

Peniston R.6.0/10

Even match

What we know

Surface+259 Hard Elo edgeFavours Peniston R.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1441Favours Peniston R.

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headTrails 0–1 on hardInformative

Surface switchClay → HardFavours Peniston R.

ELO1 622

Hard ELO1 562

Last 107–3

Age24

PlaysLeft

ELO1 700

Hard ELO1 645

Last 101–9

Age30

PlaysLeft

Sebastian Gima faces Ryan Peniston in the Taranto qualifying round of 32 on hard. Ryan Peniston holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 260-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Freshness: Sebastian Gima comes in with 14 days of rest and 25 games in 14d, vs Ryan Peniston's 7 and 15.
Head-to-head: Ryan Peniston leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M15 Heraklion 10 2020.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Peniston R. leads 1–0

Peniston R.November 2020M15 Heraklion 10Hard6-4 6-1

Evidence

Gima S.Peniston R.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–31–9

Season win rate52% (23–21)8% (1–12)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16221700

Hard-court ELO15621645

Serve vs returnLast 41 vs 13 matches

1st-serve points won67%63%

Return points won42%38%

Aces / match2.21.4

ClutchLast 41 vs 13 matches

Break points saved56%49%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:30 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast17°C · Overcast

Wind5 km/h

Humidity55%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Gima S.Peniston R.

14Days since last match7

0Matches · 7 days1

0Games · 7 days15

1Matches · 14 days1

25Games · 14 days15

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Sebastian Gima vs Ryan Peniston — Taranto Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-01/gima-vs-peniston-taranto-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 1 November 2026).