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Michael Vrbensky vs Marek Gengel — Bratislava 2 Qualifying Round of 32

Bratislava 2Q32QualifyingHardSun 1 Nov · 14:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Gengel M.
28%72%

Clear edge for Gengel M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Vrbensky M.5.9/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Gengel M.5.4/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on hardSupports Gengel M.
Recent runLost last 5Informative
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardInformative
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Gengel M.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 644
Hard ELO1 556
Last 105–5
Age26
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $297K2026 $9K
ELO1 696
Hard ELO1 667
Last 104–6
Age31
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $288K2026 $21K

Michael Vrbensky faces Marek Gengel in the Bratislava 2 qualifying round of 32 on hard. They have met 2 times, Michael Vrbensky leading 2–0, Michael Vrbensky ahead 1–0 on hard.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Vrbensky M. leads 2–0
20

Hard: Vrbensky M. leads 1–0 · Carpet: Vrbensky M. leads 1–0

Evidence

Vrbensky M.Gengel M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate35% (9–17)64% (18–10) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16441696 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15561667 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 25 vs 28 matches
1st-serve points won65%72% (ahead)
Return points won38%41% (ahead)
Aces / match3.84.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 25 vs 28 matches
Break points saved56%56%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

14:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast11°C · Rain
Wind19 km/h
Humidity90%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Michael Vrbensky vs Marek Gengel — Bratislava 2 Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-01/gengel-vs-vrbensky-bratislava-2-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 1 November 2026).