UMPIRY
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Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Tadeo Meneo — Villa Maria Qualifying Round of 32

Villa MariaQ32QualifyingClaySun 1 Nov · 09:30
VSStrong favourite · Gagliardo L.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Gagliardo L.
84%16%

Clear edge for Gagliardo L. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Gagliardo L.5.8/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Meneo T.4.6/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form1 of last 7 on clayInformative
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on claySupports Gagliardo L.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 600
Clay ELO1 587
Last 107–3
Age26
ELO1 434
Clay ELO1 451
Last 102–8
Age21

Lorenzo Gagliardo faces Tadeo Meneo in the Villa Maria qualifying round of 32 on clay. Lorenzo Gagliardo holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Gagliardo L. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Gagliardo L.Meneo T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)2–8
Season win rate60% (12–8) (ahead)17% (2–10)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1600 (ahead)1434
Clay-court ELO1587 (ahead)1451
Serve vs returnLast 18 vs 8 matches
1st-serve points won62%66% (ahead)
Return points won45% (ahead)34%
Aces / match1.13.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 18 vs 8 matches
Break points saved61% (ahead)59%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

09:30 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast4°C · Clear
Wind14 km/h
Humidity75%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Tadeo Meneo — Villa Maria Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-01/gagliardo-vs-meneo-villa-maria-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 1 November 2026).