Andrew Fenty vs Karl Poling — Charlottesville Qualifying Round of 32
Why
Surface+138 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Poling K.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1314Against the prediction · Poling K.
Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on hardSupports Fenty A.
CountryWon 57% in USA (101)Supports Fenty A.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Poling K.
ELO1 601
Hard ELO1 576
Last 105–5
Age26
Height193 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $90K2026 $25K
ELO1 584
Hard ELO1 552
Last 104–6
Age27
Height185 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $90K2026 $27K
Andrew Fenty faces Karl Poling in the Charlottesville qualifying round of 32 on hard. Karl Poling is the paper favourite — ranked #453, a roughly 140-point hard Elo advantage — but Andrew Fenty has won both their previous meetings. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Head-to-head: Andrew Fenty leads the head-to-head 2–0. Last met at Cary 2026.
- Fatigue load: Andrew Fenty carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Andrew Fenty 5 of 10, Karl Poling 4 of 10 on hard recently — Andrew Fenty the sharper of late.
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Evidence
Fenty A.Poling K.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate45% (17–21)50% (25–25) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1601 (ahead)1584
Hard-court ELO1576 (ahead)1552
Serve vs returnLast 35 vs 47 matches
1st-serve points won68% (ahead)66%
Return points won38%39% (ahead)
Aces / match4.2 (ahead)1.9
ClutchLast 35 vs 47 matches
Break points saved59%59%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Andrew Fenty vs Karl Poling — Charlottesville Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-01/fenty-vs-poling-charlottesville-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 1 November 2026).