UMPIRY
EN

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand — Bratislava 2 Qualifying Round of 32

Bratislava 2Q32QualifyingHardSun 1 Nov · 16:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Mpetshi Perricard G.
76%24%

Clear edge for Mpetshi Perricard G. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Mpetshi Perricard G.5.5/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Ghazouani Durand Y.5.9/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Ghazouani Durand Y.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Surface switchCarpet → HardSupports Mpetshi Perricard G.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 807
Hard ELO1 661
Last 102–8
Age23
EarningsCareer $3.6M2026 $639K
ELO1 631
Hard ELO1 596
Last 105–5
Age26
EarningsCareer $51K2026 $13K

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard faces Yanis Ghazouani Durand in the Bratislava 2 qualifying round of 32 on hard. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard is the paper favourite — ranked #148 — but Yanis Ghazouani Durand arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 8 on hard to Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard's 2 of 8.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Mpetshi Perricard G.Ghazouani Durand Y.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss2–85–5 (ahead)
Season win rate41% (16–23)61% (22–14) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1807 (ahead)1631
Hard-court ELO1661 (ahead)1596
Serve vs returnLast 38 vs 30 matches
1st-serve points won77% (ahead)67%
Return points won28%41% (ahead)
Aces / match16.5 (ahead)3.1
ClutchLast 38 vs 30 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)57%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

16:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast11°C · Rain
Wind16 km/h
Humidity92%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Mpetshi Perricard G.Ghazouani Durand Y.
5Days since last match21 — fresher
2Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
51Games · 7 days0 — fresher
3Matches · 14 days0 — fresher
78Games · 14 days0 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand — Bratislava 2 Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-01/durand-vs-perricard-bratislava-2-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 1 November 2026).