UMPIRY
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Thiago Agustin Pernas vs Federico Aguilar Cardozo — Villa Maria Qualifying Round of 32

Villa MariaQ32QualifyingClaySun 1 Nov · 08:10
Thiago Agustin PernasARG33%
VSClear favourite · Aguilar Cardozo F.
Federico Aguilar CardozoURU67%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Aguilar Cardozo F.
33%67%

Clear edge for Aguilar Cardozo F. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Pernas T.5.5/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Aguilar Cardozo F.5.5/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on clayInformative
Surface switchHard → ClaySupports Aguilar Cardozo F.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 531
Clay ELO1 528
Last 105–5
Age25
ELO1 599
Clay ELO1 591
Last 105–5
Age21

Thiago Agustin Pernas faces Federico Aguilar Cardozo in the Villa Maria qualifying round of 32 on clay. Thiago Agustin Pernas brings the better recent clay form (3 of 6).

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Pernas T.Aguilar Cardozo F.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–55–5
Season win rate20% (1–4)61% (11–7) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15311599 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15281591 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 5 vs 16 matches
1st-serve points won48%60% (ahead)
Return points won38%46% (ahead)
Aces / match0.21.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 5 vs 16 matches
Break points saved35%56% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

08:10 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast2°C · Mainly clear
Wind11 km/h
Humidity92%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Thiago Agustin Pernas vs Federico Aguilar Cardozo — Villa Maria Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-01/cardozo-vs-pernas-villa-maria-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 1 November 2026).