UMPIRY
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Franco Ribero vs Mateo Carballo — Villa Maria Qualifying Round of 32

Villa MariaQ32QualifyingClaySun 1 Nov · 11:00
Franco RiberoATP #685 · ARG71%
VSClear favourite · Ribero F.
Mateo CarballoARG29%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Ribero F.
71%29%

Clear edge for Ribero F. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Ribero F.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Carballo M.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 10 on clayInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 519
Clay ELO1 520
Last 103–7
Age27
ELO1 495
Clay ELO1 496
Last 101–2
Age56

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Ribero F.Carballo M.
FormLast 10 vs 3 matches · 2026
Win–loss3–71–2 (ahead)
Season win rate46% (19–22) (ahead)33% (1–2)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1519 (ahead)1495
Clay-court ELO1520 (ahead)1496
Serve vs returnLast 41 vs 1 matches
1st-serve points won66% (ahead)51%
Return points won39% (ahead)35%
Aces / match3.0 (ahead)0.0
ClutchLast 41 vs 1 matches
Break points saved58% (ahead)29%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast7°C · Clear
Wind18 km/h
Humidity56%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Franco Ribero vs Mateo Carballo — Villa Maria Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-01/carballo-vs-ribero-villa-maria-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 1 November 2026).