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Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux — Charlottesville Qualifying Round of 32

CharlottesvilleQ32QualifyingHardSun 1 Nov · 11:30
Shunsuke MitsuiATP #589 · JPN53%
VSToss-up
Geoffrey BlancaneauxATP #448 · FRA47%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
53%47%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Mitsui S.5.8/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Blancaneaux G.5.1/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Blancaneaux G.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Mitsui S.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 642
Hard ELO1 624
Last 104–6
Age24
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $48K2026 $9K
ELO1 673
Hard ELO1 568
Last 105–5
Age28
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.1M2026 $40K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Mitsui S.Blancaneaux G.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–65–5 (ahead)
Season win rate63% (17–10) (ahead)48% (24–26)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16421673 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1624 (ahead)1568
Serve vs returnLast 21 vs 43 matches
1st-serve points won65%68% (ahead)
Return points won42% (ahead)39%
Aces / match3.23.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 21 vs 43 matches
Break points saved50%63% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast17°C · Overcast
Wind1 km/h
Humidity48%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux — Charlottesville Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-01/blancaneaux-vs-mitsui-charlottesville-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 1 November 2026).