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Sho Shimabukuro vs Coleman Wong — Seoul Quarter-final

SeoulQuarter-finalHardFri 30 Oct · 11:00CENTRE COURT · Next on
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Wong C.
19%81%

Clear edge for Wong C. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Shimabukuro S.5.0/10
Heavy underdog
Wong C.5.3/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+13 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Shimabukuro S.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1672Against the prediction · Shimabukuro S.
Head-to-headLeads 3–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Shimabukuro S.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Shimabukuro S.
Recent run2-match win streakBoth players
ELO1 779
Hard ELO1 664
Last 103–7
Age29
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.2M2026 $427K
ELO1 883
Hard ELO1 791
Last 108–2
Age22
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.3M2026 $400K

Sho Shimabukuro faces Coleman Wong in the Seoul quarter-final on hard. Sho Shimabukuro is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 3–0 — but Coleman Wong arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on hard to Sho Shimabukuro's 3 of 10.

Key context

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Shimabukuro S. and Wong C. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Shimabukuro S. went 1–1 (50%) against them, Wong C. 0–2 (0%).

1–150%Shimabukuro S. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents0–20%Wong C. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
2–2Sets1–4
15–18Games23–31
0–0Tiebreaks1–1
0–0Deciding sets0–1

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Shimabukuro S. leads 3–0
30

Evidence

Shimabukuro S.Wong C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–78–2 (ahead)
Season win rate52% (31–29)60% (48–32) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17791883 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16641791 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 53 vs 67 matches
1st-serve points won72%75% (ahead)
Return points won36%36%
Aces / match6.010.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 53 vs 67 matches
Break points saved60%64% (ahead)

When it starts

CENTRE COURT · Next on · Starts at 11:00 AM

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTRE COURT · 11:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium-slow
Forecast12°C · Clear
Wind2 km/h
Humidity83%

Court pace medium-slow: favours grinders.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Shimabukuro S.Wong C.
2 — fresherDays since last match0
2 — fresherMatches · 7 days5
31 — fresherGames · 7 days111
3 — fresherMatches · 14 days7
64 — fresherGames · 14 days163
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Sho Shimabukuro vs Coleman Wong — Seoul Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-30/shimabukuro-vs-wong-seoul-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 30 October 2026).